Leeds United travel to Turf Moor on Saturday, aiming to build momentum under Daniel Farke as the Premier League campaign resumes.
Burnley, sitting 18th, are winless in their last five matches, while Leeds hover mid-table after a mix of competitive performances both home and away.
Our friends over at Opta Stats have compiled seven key facts ahead of the Lancashire v Yorkshire encounter – and most of them tilt in favour of the visitors.
LEEDS HAVE UPPER HAND IN RECENT MEETINGS
Leeds United have lost just once in their last six league meetings with Burnley (W3 D2 L1), taking 11 of a possible 18 points in that time. Across those six games, Leeds have scored 12 goals to Burnley’s five, including a 3-1 win in January 2022 and a 4-0 victory at Turf Moor in 2021. The Whites have also kept three clean sheets in that run, underlining their dominance in recent years.
LEEDS CHASE BACK-TO-BACK AWAY WINS
After a 3-1 victory at Wolves in September, Leeds could record consecutive Premier League away wins for the first time since April 2022 under Jesse Marsch. That performance at Molineux was one of Leeds’ most efficient on the road this season, with an xG of 1.8 to Wolves’ 0.8 and 56% possession — both season highs away from home. Daniel Farke’s men have now scored five goals in their last three away matches, up from just one across their opening two.
CONSISTENCY SHOWING RESULTS
Leeds have named the same starting XI in each of their last four Premier League fixtures — their longest unchanged run since 1995. That settled line-up has delivered an average of 1.5 goals per game over that period and an average of 10.2 shots per 90 minutes.
SET PIECES DRIVING LEEDS' ATTACK
Six of Leeds United’s last 10 Premier League goals have come from set pieces - including three from corners, one from a direct free kick, one from a long throw, and one penalty. Only Arsenal (7) have scored more from dead-ball situations this season. Leeds also average 6.1 corners per game, nearly double Burnley’s 3.3 — a sign of their territorial dominance and attacking intent.
CALVERT-LEWIN A PROVEN THREAT AGAINST BURNLEY
Striker Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored four times in his last six Premier League appearances against Burnley, averaging a goal every 111 minutes against the Clarets. His record includes braces at Goodison Park in 2020 and 2021, and he ranks second among Leeds players for shots on target this season (6), behind only Noah Okafor (7). Calvert-Lewin also leads Leeds for non-penalty xG (2.3) so far this term.
DEFENSIVE CONTRAST BETWEEN THE SIDES
Burnley’s 15 goals conceded in seven games is the second-worst record in the Premier League, with an average of 2.1 goals against per match. Leeds have been notably stronger, allowing 1.6 goals per match, and rank first in the league for fewest headed goals conceded (1). Their xG conceded of 8.1 is also lower than Burnley’s (8.7), despite facing tougher opponents in Arsenal, Tottenham, and Wolves.
LEEDS' PRESS AND POSSESSION SUPERIOR
Burnley average just 35.3% possession — the third-lowest in any Premier League season since 2003–04. Leeds, by contrast, average 45.4% and have regained possession in the final third 25 times, compared to Burnley’s nine. That higher press intensity has directly led to three of Leeds’ nine league goals, while Burnley have yet to score from a high turnover this season.
